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Prevent Shortages Before Festivals

The government must proactively monitor inventories, maintain strategic reserves, protect transport routes, and strictly regulate supply chains before Dashain and Tihar to prevent festive price gouging and artificial shortages.
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By REPUBLICA

Major festivals in Nepal are approaching, and so is a familiar problem: rising demand for essential goods, followed by supply disruptions, price increases and complaints of hoarding and black marketing. The government should not wait for shortages to become visible before it acts to stop them. By then, traders may already have taken advantage of the situation and consumers are left with few choices. The warning signs are already visible. LPG supplies have fallen short of demand, forcing households to worry about cooking fuel just as festival activity begins to rise. Sugar prices have also increased noticeably. Cooking oil, rice, fruits and other household essentials are showing similar pressure in the market. Some price increases may reflect genuine changes in supply, transport costs or production. But our experience shows that traders can also exploit festival demand by withholding stocks, creating artificial shortages and charging higher prices. LPG deserves particular attention. Time and again, the country has failed to replenish enough stock when the demand was higher than the supply. Consumers who couldn't readily access cooking gas ended up purchasing it privately at very high rates.That creates a market where honest consumers pay more while those controlling stocks benefit. National Assembly members have already urged the government to ensure adequate supplies of essentials, including cooking gas, ahead of Dashain and Tihar. Their concern should prompt action, not another round of promises.The first task is to know how much stock is available. The government should require importers, wholesalers and major distributors of essential goods to report their inventories regularly during the festival period. Such information would help authorities identify unusual stockpiling before it turns into a severe shortage.



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The government should also monitor prices and supplies from the border to the retail level. Market inspections should focus on high demand items such as LPG, sugar, rice, cooking oil and fruits. Traders found deliberately withholding goods or manipulating prices should face penalties under existing laws. Inspections should also remain transparent so that legitimate businesses are not harassed simply because prices have risen for genuine reasons. Also, the government must have a clear emergency stock policy. The nation cannot depend entirely on imports for essential goods just before or during festivals, when transport disruptions, floods, strikes or border problems can quickly affect supplies. It should maintain strategic reserves of selected goods, particularly cooking fuel and staple foods, can provide a buffer during sudden shortages.Transportation of goods deserves equal attention. Recent floods have already shown how vulnerable Nepal’s supply routes are. Authorities should identify alternative routes and keep critical highways open for the movement of food and fuel. Coordination among the federal government, provincial authorities, local governments, security agencies and suppliers should begin before the festival rush. Consumers also need reliable information. Publishing daily or weekly reference prices and stock conditions can make it harder for traders to spread rumours about shortages. Local administrations should provide channels where consumers can report hoarding, black marketing and unusual price increases.


The government should ensure that these won’t be any panic buying due to sudden or drastic changes in policy. Timely and appropriate dissemination of information on imports, stocks management and the actual distribution can prevent the panic buying which often leads to sudden shortages. The National Assembly members have lately raised the issues concerning smooth supplies and distribution of essentials. Members have also called for better governance, fair relief distribution and concrete policies in areas such as education. These demands point to the same basic issue: citizens expect the state to function when they need it most. Festivals should not become an annual opportunity for profiteering. Nepal has enough experience with these cycles to prepare in advance. Ensuring adequate stocks, monitoring markets, protecting supply routes, maintaining emergency reserves and acting against deliberate manipulation can keep essential goods available and prices under control.

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